The author of the argument predicts continued steady decline in the number of headaches suffered by the average citizen of Mentia. But while extrapolating his conclusion based on mentioned factors in his argument author has forgot to provide vital evidence needed for his prediction to be true. He has based his conclusion without considering some important variables that affect the strength of his argument.
First of all, author correlates the finding of his study with increase in commercial use of salicylates in foods. While developing this logic, he mentions that salicylates can be used to treat headaches. He also mentions that naturally, foods are already rich in the content of salicylates. Hence, he should provide information that whether this natural salycilate content in the foods, is sufficient on its own to treat the headaches of the patients, if not then how much more quantity of salicylate apart from the one that we get naturally from foods, is needed to treat the headaches of an average citizen of Mentia. He should also provide some data reporting the total content of salicylates present in the preservated foods. This data can be helpful to know that whether the preservated foods really contain salicylates in sufficient amount to treat headaches and thus can be linked to the trend of decrease in reported headaches. Also, author does not provide any data about the sales of aspirin that is medically used to treat headaches. Because, if the sales of the aspirin drug has raised, it means that more aspirin is consumed by the citizens than before and thus, reduced number of cases of headaches is a result of the increased consumption of apirin and not the salicylates in the preserved foods. And thus to expect continued decline in number of reports of headaches is not logical.
Also, even if Salicylate is assumed to be responsible for reduction in reports of headaches, it is wrong to assume that this trend will continue in future. Author cites that recently, food-processing companies have found that salicylates can also be used as flavour additives and thus it is reasonable to expect decline in reported number of headaches in city of Mentia as now companies will increase use of Salicylates in their products. But author fails to give any evidence that food-companies are actually willing to produce foods with salicylates as flavour additives and increased amount of Salicylate present in the foods will actually be more effective. Because it is quite reasonable that companies think that, as they already are using salicylates as a preservative in foods, there is no further need to add more salycylates to the foods, as the existing amount of salicylates is functioning both as a preservative and also as a flavour additive. Hence, author needs to cite some examples of products which companies might actually produce in near future, containing increased amount of Salicylates.
Hence, author needs to provide a lot of relevent data reporting some important information to come to a solid conclusion. Also, he needs to provide some examples of products which will be launched by companies which contain more salicylates. But, as such authors argument is flawed and lack sufficient evidence to be more persuasive.
The
author
of the argument predicts continued steady decline in the
number
of
headaches
suffered by the average citizen of
Mentia
.
But
while extrapolating his conclusion based on mentioned factors in his argument
author
has
forgot
to
provide
vital evidence needed for his prediction to be true. He has based his conclusion without considering
some
important
variables that affect the strength of his argument.
First of all
,
author
correlates the finding of his study with increase in commercial
use
of
salicylates
in
foods
. While developing this logic, he mentions that
salicylates
can be
used
to
treat
headaches
. He
also
mentions that
naturally
,
foods
are already rich in the content of
salicylates
.
Hence
, he should
provide
information that whether this natural
salycilate
content in the
foods
, is sufficient on its
own
to
treat
the
headaches
of the patients, if not then how much more quantity of
salicylate
apart from the one that we
get
naturally
from
foods
,
is needed
to
treat
the
headaches
of an average citizen of
Mentia
. He should
also
provide
some
data
reporting the total content of
salicylates
present in the
preservated
foods
. This
data
can be helpful to know that whether the
preservated
foods
really
contain
salicylates
in sufficient
amount
to
treat
headaches
and
thus
can
be linked
to the trend of decrease in reported
headaches
.
Also
,
author
does not
provide
any
data
about the sales of aspirin
that is
medically
used
to
treat
headaches
.
Because
, if the sales of the aspirin drug has raised, it means that more aspirin
is consumed
by the citizens than
before
and
thus
,
reduced
number
of cases of
headaches
is a result of the increased consumption of
apirin
and not the
salicylates
in the preserved
foods
. And
thus
to
expect
continued decline in
number
of reports of
headaches
is not logical.
Also
, even if
Salicylate
is assumed
to be responsible for reduction in reports of
headaches
, it is
wrong
to assume that this trend will continue
in future
.
Author
cites that recently, food-processing
companies
have found that
salicylates
can
also
be
used
as
flavour
additives and
thus
it is reasonable to
expect
decline in reported
number
of
headaches
in city of
Mentia
as
now
companies
will increase
use
of
Salicylates
in their products.
But
author
fails to give any evidence that food-
companies
are actually willing to produce
foods
with
salicylates
as
flavour
additives and increased
amount
of
Salicylate
present in the
foods
will actually be more effective.
Because
it is quite reasonable that
companies
think
that, as they already are using
salicylates
as a preservative in
foods
, there is no
further
need
to
add
more
salycylates
to the
foods
, as the existing
amount
of
salicylates
is functioning both as a preservative and
also
as a
flavour
additive.
Hence
,
author
needs
to cite
some
examples of products which
companies
might actually produce in near future, containing increased
amount
of
Salicylates
.
Hence
,
author
needs
to
provide
a lot of
relevent
data
reporting
some
important
information to
come
to a solid conclusion.
Also
, he
needs
to
provide
some
examples of products which will
be launched
by
companies
which contain more
salicylates
.
But
, as such
authors
argument
is flawed
and lack sufficient evidence to be more persuasive.