The tables compare the forecast and substantive immigration figures for the UK for 17 year period from 1984 to 2000.
Overall, the data indicate that the prediction for the number of immigrants in table 1 increase more stable than the actual table. As a result, it can be easily noticed that there is an inconsistency between predicted and actual immigration figures.
It is noticeable that the actual immigration figures fluctuated more than the predicted ones. The predicted data tended to go up slightly, on the contrary, the real starting point is higher but suddenly hit the lowest point at 43000 since 1984 until 1987. Then in 1989 both of them reached 80000 and they varied moderately for the next 8 years.
3 years later, reality rise reached a peak at 163000, more than predicted 15000. In addition, 2 figures have not the same number for each year except 1989. The two years periods of underestimation is alternated by ones of overestimation. For example, in the first two years, the actual number is higher than the predicted one, and after two years, it is reverse.
The tables compare the forecast and substantive immigration figures for the UK for 17
year
period from 1984 to 2000.
Overall
, the data indicate that the prediction for the number of immigrants in table 1 increase more stable than the
actual
table.
As a result
, it can be
easily
noticed that there is an inconsistency between
predicted
and
actual
immigration figures.
It is noticeable that the
actual
immigration figures fluctuated more than the
predicted
ones
. The
predicted
data tended to go up
slightly
,
on the contrary
, the real starting point is higher
but
suddenly
hit the lowest point at 43000 since 1984 until 1987. Then in 1989 both of them reached
80000 and
they varied
moderately
for the
next
8 years.
3 years later, reality rise reached a peak at 163000, more than
predicted
15000.
In addition
, 2 figures have not the same number for each
year
except 1989. The two years periods of underestimation
is alternated
by
ones
of overestimation.
For example
, in the
first
two years, the
actual
number is higher than the
predicted
one, and after two years, it is reverse.