Merely based on unfounded assumptions and dubious evidence, the author draws the conclusion that there is no further need to donate for the symphony next year. To support the conclusion, the author points out the evidence about more attendance, higher private contribution and tickets price of the symphony. At first glance, it appears to be somewhat convincing, but further reflection reveals that it omits some substantial concerns.
Firstly, the conclusion is unacceptable unless there is compelling evidence to support the strong connection between higher attendance and fully self-supporting. The assumption being made is that the 200 percent of private contributions and attendance can bring more income so the symphony can be self-supporting. However, is it definitely for it to become independence just due to higher contribution? Maybe this could be offset by more costs for every performance. Moreover, even if they really contribute to the whole profit, does it mean the symphony doesn't need any funding to maintain? The answer of it is uncertain.
Secondly, without ruling out all other factors, it is unreasonable to conclude the more expensive ticket can lead to self-independence. Whether the more pricy tickets can bring more profit? Perhaps the audience won't tend to buy it if they find the tickets are too expensive to afford. Therefore in this way, the profit would decrease instead. Moreover, even if the tickets with higher price could lead to a better financial consequence, how long would this optimistic phenomenon last? Can it resist through the whole next year? Thus it is irresponsible to draw the conclusion that the funding for the symphony can be eliminated from the next year's budget.
To sum up, the author fails to draw the conclusion because the cited evidence does not lend strong support for it. To make the conclusion more convincing, the author would have to provide more evidence with regard to the causal relationship between more private contributions, attendance and self-supporting. What's more, how long for the profit improvement can last brought by more expensive ticket should be answered. Thus if the argument had included the given factors, it could be more thorough and logically acceptable.
Merely
based on unfounded assumptions and dubious
evidence
, the
author
draws the
conclusion
that there is no
further
need to donate for the
symphony
next
year. To support the
conclusion
, the
author
points out the
evidence
about more
attendance
, higher private
contribution
and
tickets
price of the
symphony
. At
first
glance, it appears to be somewhat convincing,
but
further
reflection reveals that it omits
some
substantial concerns.
Firstly
, the
conclusion
is unacceptable unless there is compelling
evidence
to support the strong
connection between
higher
attendance
and
fully
self-supporting. The assumption
being made
is that the 200 percent of private
contributions
and
attendance
can bring more income
so
the
symphony
can be self-supporting.
However
, is it definitely for it to become independence
just
due to higher
contribution
? Maybe this could be offset by more costs for every performance.
Moreover
, even if they
really
contribute to the whole
profit
, does it mean the
symphony
doesn't need any funding to maintain? The answer of it is uncertain.
Secondly
, without ruling out all other factors, it is unreasonable
to conclude
the more expensive
ticket
can lead to self-independence. Whether the more
pricy
tickets
can bring more
profit
? Perhaps the audience won't tend to
buy
it if they find the
tickets
are too expensive to afford.
Therefore
in this way, the
profit
would decrease
instead
.
Moreover
, even if the
tickets
with higher price could lead to a better financial consequence, how long would this optimistic phenomenon last? Can it resist through the whole
next
year?
Thus
it is irresponsible to draw the
conclusion
that the funding for the
symphony
can
be eliminated
from the
next
year's budget.
To sum up, the
author
fails to draw the
conclusion
because
the cited
evidence
does not lend strong support for it. To
make
the
conclusion
more convincing, the
author
would
have to
provide more
evidence
with regard to the causal relationship between more private
contributions
,
attendance
and self-supporting. What's more, how long for the
profit
improvement can last brought by more expensive
ticket
should
be answered
.
Thus
if the argument had included the
given
factors, it could be more thorough and
logically
acceptable.