The author concludes that the city should allocate some of its arts funding to the public television in order for the attendance at the city art museums not to further decrease. The argument is based on the two assumptions: 1) the number of audience of art programs on public television is appropriate to that of local art museums, and 2) the public television faced of severe funding cuts. While this argument is somewhat convincing, it is not sound because its line of reasoning is not compelling。
First of all, the author commits the “Confused Cause and Effect” fallacy. The argument depends on the assumption that increased exposure to the visual arts on public television has caused a similar increase in local art-museum attendance in the past years. However, the poll that increased art-museum attendance is statistically correlated with similar increases in television viewing of visual-arts programs, does not necessarily mean that the increased television viewing of arts is the cause of the rise in museum attendance. There may be other factors relevant to increased interest in the local art museum during the past years. For example, some larger social or cultural factors may cause greater public interest in municipal art museums。
Second, the argument does not address the effectiveness of citywide poll conducted five years ago. The survey may be biased. If the respondents do not properly represent the whole residents, then the poll is not convincing. Moreover, since the survey was conducted five years ago, the statistics can become invalid and can no longer be used as future prediction。
In conclusion, the argument is not convincing enough and would be strengthened if the author were to eliminate other significant factors that might have caused the increase in visits to the local art museum, as well as to address the soundness o the survey conducted five years ago。
The author concludes that the city should allocate
some
of its
arts
funding to the
public
television
in order for the
attendance
at the city
art
museums
not to
further
decrease. The
argument
is based
on the two assumptions: 1) the number of audience of
art
programs on
public
television
is appropriate to that of
local
art
museums
, and 2) the
public
television
faced of severe funding
cuts
. While this
argument
is somewhat convincing, it is not sound
because
its line of reasoning is not
compelling。
First of all
, the author commits the “Confused Cause and Effect” fallacy. The
argument
depends on the assumption that
increased
exposure to the visual
arts
on
public
television
has caused a similar increase in
local
art-museum
attendance
in the past years.
However
, the poll that
increased
art-museum
attendance
is
statistically
correlated with similar increases in
television
viewing of visual-arts programs, does not
necessarily
mean that the
increased
television
viewing of
arts
is the cause of the rise in
museum
attendance
. There may be other factors relevant to
increased
interest in the
local
art
museum
during the past years.
For example
,
some
larger social or cultural factors may cause greater
public
interest in municipal
art
museums。
Second, the
argument
does not address the effectiveness of citywide poll conducted five years ago. The survey may
be biased
. If the respondents do not
properly
represent the whole residents, then the poll is not convincing.
Moreover
, since the survey
was conducted
five years ago, the statistics can become invalid and can no longer be
used
as future
prediction。
In conclusion
, the
argument
is not convincing
enough
and would
be strengthened
if the author were to eliminate other significant factors that might have caused the increase in visits to the
local
art
museum
,
as well
as to address the soundness o the survey conducted five years
ago。